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Anyone else think Mir is a lock?

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Honestly Mir has more ways to win this fight. Everyone wants to talk about Mir's Chin but Overeem has been stopped by strikes 9 times in his career, including his two most recent fights. Furthermore Mir has a significant edge if the fight goes to the ground and what I would consider a modest cardio advantage.

Overall I don't really see him losing this if he avoids the big shots in the first round and I'm sure he's well prepared for it.

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